It sure seems that way to the Metaculus prediction community, something I occasionally mention in this newsletter. But you really have to be pretty cynical to dismiss what at times appears spookily like genuine intelligence and true creative spark. And skeptics can highlight DALL*E images that sometimes ignore, for instance, exactly how many fingers and teeth humans typically have. Yes, for the moment, critics can point to ChatGPT essays that get key facts wrong or engage in circular reasoning.
And for that, you can thank (or blame) new generative AI/machine learning tools that can write and draw - and will only improve with future iterations. A modest prediction: We’re entering a period when speculation about an approaching Technological Singularity will exceed its turn-of-the-century, Internet Boom peak.
0 kommentar(er)
